Investigating macro management attitudes in citrus production of Iran using a system dynamic modeling approach under R&D interventions and sustainability aspects

Safaie, Nasser; Cheraghalipour, Armin; Roghanian, Emad

Investigating macro management attitudes in citrus production of Iran using a system dynamic modeling approach under R&D interventions and sustainability aspects

Authors

Nasser Safaie

Armin Cheraghalipour

emad roghanian

Abstract

Todays, in addition to the economic aspect, paying attention to the social and environmental aspects has contributed to the sustainability of the supply chain. On the other hand, macro management attitudes for profitability are considered as a key component in the robustness of various industries, including citrus production. In this research, using a system dynamics approach we examine the effect of profitability on its related factors through a systematic view. For this purpose, a system dynamical model is presented and in order to validate it, its behavior is compared with historical collected observations. Statistical analysis indicates that the simulated model is adhered to its actual state. To further explore the Monte Carlo simulation is performed for sensitive variables, and finally, the proposed model is implemented under different employed scenarios. In different times of simulations have shown that several interventions such as research and development (R&D) can increase the citrus production and other key variables.

Keywords

system dynamics modeling

D interventions

citrus production

Sustainability

simulation

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