تحولات همگرا در آینده علم و فناوری: مطالعه تطبیقیِ ایالات متحده، روسیه و چین

کلانتری, اسماعیل; منتظر, غلامعلی

نویسندگان

¹ دانشجوی دکتری، سیاست‌گذاری علم و فناوری، دانشکده مدیریت و اقتصاد، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران.

² دانشیار، گروه مهندسی فناوری اطلاعات، دانشکده مهندسی صنایع و سیستم‌ها، دانشگاه تربیت مدرّس، تهران، ایران.

چکیده

به رغم روند واگرایانه علم و فناوری در قریب به چند صد سال گذشته، در میانه سده بیستم میلادی با ظهور جریان میان رشته‌ای و سپس در آغاز سده بیست و یکم با ظهور جریان علوم و فناوری‌های نوپدید، روند همگرایی علم و فناوری آغاز شده است. درک این روند همگرایی از ملزومات سیاست‌گذاری در حوزه علم و فناوری است. این پژوهش با مطالعه روندهای نوظهور علم و فناوری و اولویت‌های موضوعی علم و فناوری در سه کشور امریکا، روسیه و چین به دنبال یافتن شواهد همگرایی در این اولویت‌ها با رویکردی آینده‌نگرانه است. روش پژوهش تحلیل محتوای کیفی و نمونه آماری اسناد و مدارکی است که درباره روندهای نوظهور علم و فناوری منتشر شده است. یافته‌های پژوهش نشان می‌دهد روندهای موضوعی علم و فناوری به سمت همگرایی میل می‌کند. نتایج این پژوهش نشان می‌دهد این همگرایی نخست حول محور «فناوری اطلاعات» و در مراتب بعدی به ترتیب حول «فناوری زیستی و سلامت»، «انرژی» و «فناوری نانو» در حال شکل‌گیری است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

20.1001.1.2322200.1397.22.1.11.0

عنوان مقاله [English]

Converging evolutions in the future of science and technology: A comparative study of United States, Russia and China

نویسندگان [English]

esmaeel kalantari ¹
gholamali montazer ²

چکیده [English]

Science and technology have had divergent trend in almost a few hundred years ago. However, half through the twentieth century the convergence of science and technology has begun with the advent of the interdisciplinary stream and then at the beginning of the twenty first century with the advent of the emerging science and technologies stream. Understanding this process is the policy requirements. This research attend to find evidences of divergence in priorities by study science and technology emerging trends and science and technology thematic priorities in the three countries: United States, Russia and China with futuristic approach. Research method is qualitative content analysis, statistics samples, and documents that have been published about the emerging trends in science and technology. The research achievements indicate thematic trends in science and technologies are moving towards convergence. The research results declare the convergence at first is created based on "Information Technology", and the next in sequence "Biotechnology and Health", "Energy", as well as "Nanotechnology".

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

Future of science and technology
Interdisciplinary
Converging science and technologies
Qualitative content analysis
Information technology

مراجع

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پژوهش های مدیریت در ایران

تحولات همگرا در آینده علم و فناوری: مطالعه تطبیقیِ ایالات متحده، روسیه و چین

مراجع

مراجع

دوره 22، شماره 1
خرداد 1397
صفحه 241-274

تحولات همگرا در آینده علم و فناوری: مطالعه تطبیقیِ ایالات متحده، روسیه و چین

مراجع

مراجع

دوره 22، شماره 1خرداد 1397صفحه 241-274

دوره 22، شماره 1
خرداد 1397
صفحه 241-274