Hamid Hanifi; Adel Azar; Manuchehr Manteghi
Volume 26, Issue 3 , November 2022, , Pages 118-143
Abstract
Researchers have stated that the main cause of car accidents is human error. Autonomous vehicle or driverless car can probably eliminate human error. They can also bring other benefits such as resource efficiency and reduced traffic. Many companies, such as Google and Tesla, have moved into the development ...
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Researchers have stated that the main cause of car accidents is human error. Autonomous vehicle or driverless car can probably eliminate human error. They can also bring other benefits such as resource efficiency and reduced traffic. Many companies, such as Google and Tesla, have moved into the development of autonomous vehicle. Therefore, it is necessary to provide technological, social and economic infrastructure from now on. The purpose of this study was to write a scenario of different situations of autonomous vehicle. The research method was that first the factors affecting this technology were extracted from the literature review and these factors were used as the basis for interviews with experts. Experts removed, approved, or added these factors. Content analysis of expert interviews was performed with MAXQDA software and then key effective factors were identified by MICMAC software through Cross-Impact Balances. In the next step, different scenarios were considered for these key factors with SCENARIO WIZARD software. Findings of the study were that four scenarios were proposed by SCENARIO WIZARD software, one of which was a favorable scenario, an unfavorable scenario and two static scenarios. The favorable scenario of the analysis and suggestions on how to achieve it were also presented. Knowing this favorable scenario from now on, we can provide the necessary preparation for the favorable future of autonomous vehicle so that the best of this new technology can be implemented in the country.
Ali Haji Gholam Saryazdi; Manuchehr Manteghi
Volume 22, Issue 4 , February 2019, , Pages 203-224
Abstract
In recent years, in system dynamics society has increased attention to qualitative approaches. One method of extracting models of qualitative system dynamics has been many used is a Group Model Building. In this method, clients are involved in the modeling process. But it has not been systematically ...
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In recent years, in system dynamics society has increased attention to qualitative approaches. One method of extracting models of qualitative system dynamics has been many used is a Group Model Building. In this method, clients are involved in the modeling process. But it has not been systematically studied to assess the effectiveness of Group modeling. Systematically assess is important because the following reasons: 1) understand the impact of this approach on the customer and target organizations; 2) Enhance the effectiveness of a modeling process. In this paper we have evaluated a Group modeling that was used in the design of aviation Technology Park by a questionnaire was filled out by participants after modeling sessions. The results of this survey indicate that participants acknowledged the importance, usefulness and the efficiency of these sessions. Also in the regard of meetings, open discussion, external facilitator and meetings as a group, using cause and effect diagrams, images and graphics to visualize the process, meetings outside the office environment, using workbook and the clear instructions in the meetings are important. Participants Expressed the Informal meetings have been useful.
