Siamak Nabegh vatan; Mahmoud Dehghan nayeri; khadijeh mostafaee dolatabad
Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript, Available Online from 27 March 2025
Abstract
Recently, water has become a scarce resource in many countries, particularly in Iran. This study examines sustainable development strategies in the water sector and the agricultural industry, with the main aim of enhancing water consumption efficiency through the design of effective strategies. To achieve ...
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Recently, water has become a scarce resource in many countries, particularly in Iran. This study examines sustainable development strategies in the water sector and the agricultural industry, with the main aim of enhancing water consumption efficiency through the design of effective strategies. To achieve this goal, two methods of exploratory scenario writing and backcasting were employed. In the first phase, key scenarios were identified and critical decisions were extracted using exploratory scenario writing. Subsequently, the priority of these decisions was assessed through robustness analysis. In the next phase, backcasting was utilized to outline a desirable future and identify pathways to achieve it. These pathways were evaluated using the Delphi technique to identify the most significant ones. The results from both methods indicate the robustness of options emphasizing investment in water infrastructure, development of drought and salinity-resistant crops, and increased water recycling. It was also found that these two methods complement each other, providing complementary pathways and decisions. This research can serve as a solid foundation for policymakers and planners in managing sustainable water resources in the agricultural sector.
Ehsan Marzban; Mehdi Mohammadi
Volume 20, Issue 3 , September 2016, , Pages 177-204
Abstract
Promotion in providing public utilities usually needs to implement reforms in governance and management structures. This reforms and changes focus on soft direction, organizational dimension and institutional aspects of of managerial systems. This paper aims to foresight and depicts the various probabilities ...
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Promotion in providing public utilities usually needs to implement reforms in governance and management structures. This reforms and changes focus on soft direction, organizational dimension and institutional aspects of of managerial systems. This paper aims to foresight and depicts the various probabilities of our country’s power management structure in four widely known models as four scenarios and tries to clarify the possibilities of the people’s participation in power distribution management. In depicting the four scenarios, this paper is strongly determined to find the proper answer to this critical question:”What is the best probable optimized level of democratization, citizen’s participation and interaction- in energy management and what is its pros and cons?” To achieve this aim, scenario writing method-based on inductive model- is used, demonstrating the four macro energy management (governmental, quasi privatized, privatized and self-governance) models. it is obvious that the findings and consequences of the research, would be an appropriate way in policy and decision making for public sector strategic management.
